Horseplayers without the Beyers would assume Destin was the quicker horse by about a length. Jessica Morgan / Eclipse Sportswire. In 2017 Beyer was given the racing industrys highest honor, the Eclipse Award of Merit, for his lifetime achievements. Sure, there are some extremely talented horses in the Longines Classic division including, among others, Hill n Dale Metropolitan Handicap winner Flightline, Pegasus World Cup victor Life Is Good, and Dubai World Cup Sponsored by Emirates Airline winner Country Grammer, but Olympiad has cemented his status as a top contender and a budding star for owners Grandview Equine, Cheyenne Stables, and LNJ Foxwoods. To me, he's a gift.. Photo: Kentucky Derby 2022: Why your horse can - and can't - win Saturday's race . On the Beyer scale, the Santa Anita Derby was rated notably higher than the Wood. Among those not at the top of the speed figure scale, only Creative Minister is worth giving a second look. 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational Bets: Final PGA TOUR Thoughts, Betting Card. Taiba (+800) and Messier (+800) lead the group having posted 103s previously in Kentucky Derby Prep races. The Stephen Foster was the fifth straight triple-digit Beyer Speed Figure for Olympiad in 2022. ** Get a $150 deposit match from AmWager + Daily Rewards**, Kentucky Derby prep: Gotham Stakes 2023 odds and analysis, Work tab: Cody's Wish drills for 1st time since Breeders' Cup win, Head to Head: Handicapping Fountain of Youth 2023, Romans wins weight battle, now looks to Fountain of Youth, Ky. Derby prep: 1 horse can beat Yakteen 5 in San Felipe. Click Here to sign up for a free subscription. The top Beyer Speed Figure earned by a Kentucky Derby Sportsbook since 1987 is 118, shared by Summer Squall (1990), Silver Charm (1997) and Smarty Jones (2004). font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; 2022 Kentucky Derby Field Beyer Speed Figures. Dale Romans gave me some good advice, he said. Beyer Speed Figures express the most important factor in handicapping: how fast a horse has run in each of his starts. The Beyer Speed Figure specifically does not consider other variables such as the early pace or traffic problems a horse may have faced during a given race. The team that puts out the Beyer speed figure numbers made it official Monday morning. Bet with your head, not over it. Winds ESE at 5 to 10 mph. First published in book form in 1975, the Daily Racing Form began incorporating Beyer Speed Figures in a horse's past performances in 1992 and the system now assigns a Beyer number for each horse race. It was one point better than the 110 Beyer Speed Figure Life Is Good earned for winning the $3 million Pegasus World Cup in January to rate as the highest figure at more than a mile this year Charge It earned a 111 for winning the Dwyer Stakes at one mile on July 2. .tableizer-table td { BSFs were created by Andy Beyer and are a system for rating the performance of horses in North America. Speed Figures: Un Ojo improved his best Equibase Speed Figure 14 points to a 91 for the Rebel Stakes, and he boosted his career-best Beyer Speed Figure 13 points to an 84. According to the Daily Racing Form's Jay Privman, the 118 is the highest number given to any horse since Shancelot (Shanghai Bobby) got a 121 when winning the 2019 GII Amsterdam S. at Saratoga. The Win and Youre In Challenge Series offers the winners of specific individual races an expenses-paid starting spot for corresponding Breeders Cup races, and this blog will periodically take a closer look at one promising prospect. If the download does not complete, Click Here. They employ their judgment in analyzing any racing card and determining the track variant. .tableizer-table th { Questions of general interest will be preferred for publication. So it's possible for a horse to earn a number that is higher than a horse who finished ahead. Following a five-month intensive process, Beyer, with partner Matt Hopkins and colleague Randy Moss, all the speed figures for 2015 turf races have been updated. This makes them wild cards of sorts, with the odds estimate reflecting the uncertainty. Simplification seems like the most likely horse to show up for the exotics. Make sure you keep an eye out in the coming weeks for any changes to the Kentucky Derby field. [8] It is noteworthy that Easy Goer's overall speed figures were substantially superior to principal rival Sunday Silence, despite Sunday Silence's slight three to one edge in their head-to-head races. Though by no means the end all and be all of picking winners, speed figures provide a good gauge of the overall talent level of horses in a race. Written By Mo Nuwwarah on May 19, 2022 - Last Updated on May 23, 2022. Beyer Speed Figures favorEpicenter, and it is not very close. }. In two of that year's Kentucky Derby preps, Destin stopped the timer for the 1 1/16 miles of the Tampa Bay Derby in 1:42.82. Last year, he was on fire. A 90 at Saratoga is the same quality of performance as a 90 at the Ferndale Fair.Moreover, a figure of 90 in a six-furlong race is the same quality of performance as a 90 at 1 miles. The big step that I know for sure is that we want to get him stretched out, he said. Similar to the Beyer and Brisnet scales, Secret Oath is in the thick of things from a numbers prospectivewhile challenging the males. (Coady Photography), A Closer Look at 2022 Breeders Cup Classic Hopeful Olympiad, Grandview Equine, Cheyenne Stables, and LNJ Foxwoods. Capped a run of three wins in four starts at Fair Grounds with a score in the Grade 2 Louisiana Derby, earning a career best Beyer Speed Figure of 102. Handicappers may find it useful to relate the par to the typical figures of horses in a field. According to the speed figures, Arkansas is the circuit to avoid in this year's Kentucky Derby. Taiba earned a 111 Brisnet rating in winning the Santa Anita Derby, the same number earned by both Mo Donegal and Early Voting, who were separated by just a neck when 1-2 in the Wood. Note that unlike with Brisnet and Beyer, TimeformUS also takes pace into account when formulating its figures. If speed figures are correct, it could be more of the same in 2022. Commentator, who once ran a 123 in his career, scored a 120 as a 7-year-old, possibly a record for a horse that old. Below well explore Kentucky Derby odds Beyer Speed Figure ratings. Not only is Epicenter the lone horse in the race to run a number above 100, which is what it likely will take to win this race, but he has run three straight races with a 98 or higher Beyer. Not a subscriber? For example, a horse who earns three consecutive figures of 102, and defeats a horse with three consecutive figures of 92, would indicate a projected figure of 102 for that race is accurate. The system behind the figures was explained in detail and popularized by Andrew Beyers book, Picking Winners, published in 1975. 92. Only one horse has recorded a better Beyer speed figure than Flightline's 126 in the Pacific Classic, and none have matched his five-race string of excellence 105, 114, 118, 112, and 126. That . 'TDN Rising Star' Flightline (Tapit) is really, really, fast. The Malibu was the longest start of his career. Racing Rsum: After winning two of five starts in his first two seasons of racing with a fourth-place finish in the Grade 1 Cigar Mile Handicap Presented by NYRA Bets in his stakes debut, Olympiad has emerged in 2022 as a rising star for Hall of Fame trainer Bill Mott. In Europe, Timeform has a similar rating scale that yields a number, but with a different value. University of Louisville Equine Industry Program - Get a Career in Horse Racing! Bet with your head, not over it. Speightstown has enjoyed success as a sire on dirt and turf and with sprinters as well as longer-distance runners. On 2016s Derby trail, the top number was the 103 earned by Exaggerator in his victory in the Santa Anita Derby. That's the case for this year's Wood Memorial, where pacesetter Early Voting got a slightly higher TimeformUS Speed Figure than Mo Donegal. The best horses in the U.S. generally earn Beyer Speed Figures between 105 and 115. margin: 3px; He said the best input you can have is to make sure you don't have any input. Its important to look at multiple data points, especially in the case of an unusually high or low number, such as that of Morello. Beyer Speed Figures and TimeformUS Speed Figures are courtesy ofDaily Racing Form. 40/1 Hallwood, 9/1 San Pedro, 11/2 Tile Tapper, 100/30 Hourvari, 3/1 Kraken Florida, 9/4 Lazy Sunday, 4/6 Altobelli. Baby Yoda finished second in the Malibu, but was never a threat to Flightline, who won eased up by 11 1/2 lengths. Epicenter has just recently won the Risen Star stakes by about three lengths with a Beyer Speed Figure of 98 points. A horse doesnt have to have earned a triple-digit BSF before the Derby to win, but its also difficult to make an enormous leap of 10+ from a career-best in a prep race and win the Derby. Wudda U Think Now had the weekend's highest Beyer Speed Figure and Brisnet Speed Ratings after winning the black-type Hollie Hughes at Aqueduct on . It is done, and has always been done, by human beingsBeyer and Mark Hopkins, and their six associates. University of Louisville Equine Industry Program - Get a Career in Horse Racing! They both earned a Brisnet Rating of 111, which tie with Taibafor the best in the Derby. They are meant to represent the racing merit of an Australian horse. There were three Kentucky Derby horses that posted 100+ BSFs. His 120 was the highest number recorded since Quality Road earned a 121 in 2011. Brisnet does not mark Epicenter as a standout. However, Beyer gave both colts a Beyer Speed Figure of 100. 1 . Consistency and experience show that Epicenter is a worthy favorite who will be tough to beat. Last year, he was on fire. A system for rating the performance of Thoroughbred racehorses in North America, Learn how and when to remove this template message, "Figure Makers: An Open Mind Rules The Beyer Method", "Flightline stunning as he runs away with Pacific Classic", "Overacheiver [sic] Cigar Had a Mark of Consistency", "Paulick Report Forum brought to you by Breeders' Cup: Talking Speed Figures with Beyer", "Best Bets: A handicapping history of the Breeders' Cup, Part 5 [Breeders' Cup]", "Commentator stands alone in Beyer history", "With a Combination of Speed and Class, War Pass Is Reminiscent of Seattle Slew", "Jerardi: Top Beyer Figures a thing of the past", "Frosted ran off the screen and to the top of the Beyer scale", "Overacheiver Cigar Had a Mark of Consistency", "American Pharoah's 120 erases any doubts", https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Beyer_Speed_Figure&oldid=1115194621, Short description is different from Wikidata, Articles with unsourced statements from March 2015, Articles needing additional references from March 2015, All articles needing additional references, Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike License 3.0, This page was last edited on 10 October 2022, at 07:24. Overall, the 2022 Kentucky Derby field looks generally faster than the 2021 field. 2022 Kentucky Derby Beyer Speed Figure Rankings For Every Horse. [2] Flightline earned a 126 speed figure in winning the 2022 Pacific Classic Stakes at Del Mar Racetrack in 2022. Belmont Stakes 2022 post positions, morning line; We the People favored at 2-1. . Messier notched his 103 in the Robert B. Lewis on Feb. 6. padding: 4px; Breeders Cup Promo - Get Up to $200 Back If Your First Bet Loses, Get Your First Single-Horse Win Wager Back, Register for DFS, receive a free NBA Entry. Stay up-to-date with the best from America's Best Racing! The Stephen Foster was the fifth straight triple-digit Beyer Speed Figure for Olympiad in 2022. Happy Jack. With A 118 Beyer, Flightline Heads Into 2022. [5] Easy Goer is also the record-holder for a two-year-old, earning a 116 Beyer Speed Figure in the 1988 Champagne Stakes. Messier's career high of 127 and Taiba's best of 125 top the field. Un Ojo Ethereal Road and Happy Jack have the lowest career-best BSFs. That's not about to change. )[3] In 2004, Ghostzapper earned the highest Beyer Speed Figure for the year at 128 while winning the Philip H. Iselin Stakes. The lists provide daily updates of the top Equibase Speed Figures earned in stakes races in support of the Eclipse Awards: 2-Year-Old Male 2-Year-Old Female 3-Year-Old Male. He lost $5 to his dad and got back into sports betting years later during a 15-year run in the poker industry. MLB Odds: Will Twins Break Out Of Two-Year Slump? Typically, Kentucky Derby field horses post BSF around or over 90. Hence, their status as longshots. Win.Use Promo Code: PLAYBONUS250PLAY NOW. With a large field set to enter the starting gate on Saturday, want to see the horse racing predictions from racing insider and Beyer Speed Figure maker Bob Weir before making any 2022 Blue Grass . Olympiad, with Junior Alvarado in the irons, rolled to a 2 -length victory in the July 2 Stephen Foster Stakes at Churchill Downs, his fifth win in a row to start off 2022. His performance was given a Beyer Speed Figure of 126, which according to the Daily Racing Form, which publishes the figures, is the second-highest number since eponymous BSF creator Andrew Beyer . border: 1px solid #CCC; Unlike many of his rivals, he still has room to catch up on speed figures. Epicenter might have grabbed the weekend headlines by winning the Grade 2 Risen Star and picking up 50 qualifying points for the 2022 Kentucky Derby.But it was a 5-year-old who had the fastest race of the weekend, at least according to two sources. Nest improved to an 82 Beyer and a 99 Equibase figure in the Suncoast. Note that Crown Pride and Summer Is Tomorrow do not have relevant Beyer Speed Figures due to running outside the United States. For American Quarter Horse racing, the Speed index rating system is used. Epicenter is the only other horse in the field to . [5][6][7] Easy Goer also routinely ran in the 120 Beyer Speed Figure range on a regular basis in his races, while arch-rival Sunday Silence did so rarely and only when it was required for him to prevail. Beyer Speed Figures express the most important factor in handicapping: how fast a horse has run in each of his starts.The winning figure for a race is based on three factors: the final time, the distance, and the inherent speed of the track (a calculation known as the track variant.) With a horse who did not make his debut until April of his 3-year-old year and , who has raced just three times over the span of eight months, trainer John Sadler has been very deliberate with Flightline. Messier posted his on Feb. 6, 2022 in the Robert B. Lewis (G3), a 1 1/16 mile run which Messier won. 7 Winners on Monday! These numbers reflect the relative strength of different racing circuits. As any horses drop out and new horses are elevated into the field, we can adjust the chart accordingly. He also wanted a rating system that could compare horses at different distances and at all racetracks. 10 of the previous 12 Kentucky Derby winners posted a Beyer Speed Figure of 100 or more. [13] In 2007 the highest Beyer Speed Figure was 124 assigned to Midnight Lute in the 7 furlong Forego Handicap at Saratoga Race Course. I believe the number for the Wood was inflated after it was compared to the Gazelle Stakes (G3) at the same distance on the same card. The most exciting two minutes in sports doubles as a betting bonanza as well. Crown Pride hails from Japan while Summer Is Tomorrow, despite a Kentucky breeding, has been racing in Dubai. Speed figures are normalized numerical representations of final times based on relative track speeds, as it is rare for tracks to produce the exact final . The average winning Beyer Speed Figure in the Kentucky Derby is 109. ** Get a $150 deposit match from AmWager + Daily Rewards**, Kentucky Derby prep: Gotham Stakes 2023 odds and analysis, Work tab: Cody's Wish drills for 1st time since Breeders' Cup win, Head to Head: Handicapping Fountain of Youth 2023, Romans wins weight battle, now looks to Fountain of Youth, Ky. Derby prep: 1 horse can beat Yakteen 5 in San Felipe, These 19 horses have Saturday's highest speed figures. You can throw out superlative after superlative. Danzing Candy won the San Felipe at the same distance in 1:43.04. However, seven horses posted a BSF between 90-94 in the 2022 crop versus five in 2021. His dam (mother), Tokyo Time, by Medaglia dOro, was a winner at 1 1/8 miles and also Grade 2-placed at that distance. [23], As Beyer has noted, a speed figure is a numerical expression of a horse's final time, universalized for distance, track surface, and the daily variant on that surface. Considering that he is by Tapit and, therefore, should do his best running at longer distances and that Sadler-trained horses usually don't reach their peak until turning four, or even five, could Flightline actually get better? Follow TheLines on Twitter for complete 2022 Kentucky Derby coverage. Reach for the superlatives: Flightline and jockey Flavien Prat after a truly astonishing performance in the Pacific Classic. In a rare circumstance, he would have been favored even if the Kentucky Derby winner, Rich Strike, was running in the Preakness. The Beyer Speed Figures business is a partnership of Beyer and Mark Hopkins. Flightline was given a 118 Beyer figure for his sensational performance in Sunday's GI Runhappy Malibu S. at Santa Anita, which is the top figure assigned to any horse this year. Play today with NYRA Bets! ** Get a $150 deposit match from AmWager + Daily Rewards**, Kentucky Derby 2022: New scenarios after 3 defections, Kentucky Derby prep: Gotham Stakes 2023 odds and analysis, Work tab: Cody's Wish drills for 1st time since Breeders' Cup win, Head to Head: Handicapping Fountain of Youth 2023, Romans wins weight battle, now looks to Fountain of Youth, Ky. Derby prep: 1 horse can beat Yakteen 5 in San Felipe. University of Louisville Equine Industry Program - Get a Career in Horse Racing! We knew Olympiad was fast - he set a new track record of 1:42.01 for 1 1/16 miles at Fair Grounds in winning the Mineshaft Stakes in February - but watching him press a fast pace in the Stephen Foster and still finish with a final eighth of a . 84. Before you place your wagers on the Derby, you'll want the skinny on the horses. p: (800) 647-6571 } In Betting Thoroughbreds, Steve Davidowitz claimed that (in 1974), "the top-figure horse wins 35 percent of the time, at a slight loss for every $2.00 wagered." He has had only three 3 starts and has yet to go beyond 1 1/16 miles. He has faster numbers across the board than Florida Derby winner White Abarrio and will likely be double the price. Timeform Ratings go a step further in trying to be both accurate and objective. He improved to 5-for-5 this season with a dominant 2 -length victory from just off the pace in the Grade 2 Stephen Foster that resulted in a career-best 123 Equibase Speed Figure and 111 Beyer Speed Figure. He's a special horse. We expect next year to go a lot different than this year because when you do right by a horse, you build a better product going forward. Written By Mo Nuwwarah on June 8, 2022 - Last Updated on June 9, 2022. The Grade 2, $400,000 Fountain of Youth Stakes , t Hallandale Beach, Fla. Trainers always are searchi Before handicapping the Grade 2, $400,000 San Feli History (1875-2022 Derby Results & Videos), Breeders' Cup Super Screener - Expert Picks. NEC Tournament Odds: Merrimack In A One-Horse Race? But it was a 5-year-old who had the fastest race of the weekend, at least according to two sources. }. His Beyers have progressed from 70 to 88 to 98. Used 2014 Audi A6 from Beyer Kia Falls Church in Falls Church, VA, 22046. Those who live and die by the speed figures may give Early Voting a chance to upset Epicenter andSkippylongstockinga shot to hit the board, but neither runner has any previous figure that is strong enough to lean on. Creating these figures is the result of a very complex process that involves mathematical formulas and judgment calls . Please visit gambleaware.co.uk or gamcare.org.uk for guidelines on responsible gaming. TimeformUS also values the strength of Tim Yakteen's duo. No one else has topped 96. Seven of the 12 earned a BSF in the Kentucky Derby of 103 or higher. Beyer's subsequent research added the last piece of the puzzle. The popular rule of thumb for a rough equivalent of the Timeform score is to deduct 12-14 points to achieve the Beyer figure. She earned an impressive 98 Beyer Speed Figure in that race, the best of any Oaks rival by six points. [9][10][11] Easy Goer ran a 122 in winning the 1989 Belmont Stakes, the best Beyer Speed Figure in any Triple Crown race since these ratings were first published in 1987. These were three of the eight highest figures earned in the 1990s. With a talented, 20-horse field expected to enter the starting gate, you NEED to see what racing insider and Beyer Speed Figure maker Bob Weir has to say before making any 2022 Kentucky Derby picks of your own. 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Typically, Kentucky Derby odds Beyer Speed Figure numbers made it official Monday morning to represent the racing highest! +800 ) and Messier ( +800 beyer speed figures 2022 and Messier ( +800 ) and Messier ( )... To running outside the United States any Oaks rival by six points the average winning Beyer Speed figures are,. Step further in trying to be both accurate and objective in Kentucky Derby horses that posted 100+ BSFs three... Coming weeks for any changes to the Speed Figure in the field to 2022 Pacific Classic Stakes at Mar. Faster than the Wood only other horse in the Kentucky Derby odds Beyer Speed..