This site .css-110721q{color:#0079F0;}contains commercial content. The Hawks will need shooters like Trae Young, Kevin Huerter, and Bogdan Bogdanovic, among others, to step up as a group and hit these shots that the Heat defense will give them. Moreover, the Heats projected starting lineup consists of PG Dru Smith, SG Javonte Smart, SF Caleb Martin, PF Max Strus and C Micah Potter. While COVID and injuries arent as big a concern as they used to be for the Hawks, this team is still affected. Miami currently has seven players listed on their injury report. Lets be perfectly clear: the modest point spread isnt because the Hawks suddenly unlocked a new gear or found a chink in Miamis armor. Atlanta has played solid, yet inconsistent basketball since mid-January though . It is your sole responsibility to understand your local laws and observe them strictly. Heat vs Hawks Over/Under analysis. If you choose to make use of any information on this website including online sports betting services from any websites that may be featured on this website, we strongly recommend that you carefully check your local laws before doing so. at Itll need to move the ball around and find different ways to score in this one to beat Miami. Alternatively, if Strus odds pop up before game time, take him to go over his point total, with value up to Over 14.5 points, or over his 3-point makes, with value up to over 2.5 makes. While the Atlanta Hawks are 17-22 and are coming off back-to-back losses. Miamis team has strung together some impressive victories, while Atlanta has struggled. So who wins Heat vs. Hawks? Free trialToday's NBA Games: Betting InformationNBA odds courtesy of Tipico Sportsbook. Lines last updated at 9:35 a.m. CLAIM $250. Miami has covered 4 of its last 5 games and is 18-24-2 against the spread (ATS) on the season. Get up-to-the-minute NBA odds here. However, when you peel back the narratives it becomes more complicated. Please gamble responsibly. The Heat have already proven that they can battle without some of their top guys, so they will just need to continue to do so. March 1, 2023 7:26 AM. I agree to receive the "CBS Sports HQ Newsletter" and marketing communications, updates, special offers (including partner offers), and other information from CBS Sports and the Paramount family of companies. Must be 21 or older to gamble. Here are the Heat-Hawks NBA odds, courtesy of FanDuel. Several betting trends work in Miami's favor in this one as well. Dimers' best betting picks for Heat vs. Hawks, as well as game predictions, best odds and player props, are featured in this article. Miami has the far better season-long cover rate -- 57 percent compared to 40 percent -- and Atlanta has struggled mightily on the road, going 14-29-1 ATS this year. He earned his bachelor's degree in English and Creative Writing at Southern New Hampshire University. The Hawks have been terrible on the road this season. Our NBA betting picks believe we'll see more of that this afternoon, with Adebayo set for another big outing. Miami Heat vs. Atlanta Hawks prediction. Atlanta surrenders the fifth-most points in the paint in the entire NBA, and why would tonight be any different? Collins also ended his performance with 12 rebounds in 25 minutes spent on the court. Copyright 1995 - 2023 Louisville Cardinals Poised to Land Top Small Forward Trentyn Flowers, Washington State Gambling Commission make arrest after $300,000 found missing from VGW Post 3207, 2024s Number One Ranked Point Guard Boogie Fland Expected to Commit to North Carolina Tar Heels, Devin Booker proclaims the Suns went from laughing stock of the NBA to title contenders this season. Take the Under! You can head to SportsLine now to see the model's picks. The Miami Heat (24-20) battle the Atlanta Hawks (21-22) Monday. ET. But the market reflects a huge gap between these two teams and we basically have three straight halves where the Hawks have hung in, with the series headed to Atlanta where the Hawks have been way better. Heat vs Hawks Prediction. Heat vs. Hawks: Game 3 prediction, pick, TV channel, NBA playoffs live stream, how to watch online The Hawks are trying to stave off a 3-0 deficit The model also says one side of the spread has all the value. The Hawks beat the Toronto Raptors 114-103 Saturday, covering as a 7.5-point road underdog. The Atlanta Hawks face the Miami Heat in NBA action at State Farm Arena on Monday, commencing at 3:30PM ET. Strus minutes normally depend on how hot he, Robinson and Herro are after the first quarter, but with the Heat likely without several rotation players on the wing, he should have plenty of opportunities to put up big numbers tonight. 2 in the NBA in defensive efficiency over that span, and Miami is fantastic in key areas on offense. 1 seed. at BOTTOM LINE: Portland visits the Atlanta Hawks after Damian Lillard scored 41 points in the Trail Blazers' 121-110 loss to the New Orleans Pelicans. Last year, the upstart Hawks appeared to be a year ahead of schedule as they advanced to the conference finals as a No. Looking to do some NBA betting? I like Atlanta to find its way into two wins to force this series to at least six, though I still think Miami wins the series. Tip-off is at 3:30 p.m. The content on this page is for informational purposes only. According to DimersBOT, the Hawks (-1.5) are a 52% chance of covering the spread, while the Over/Under total of 223 points is a 52% chance of going Over. Atlanta struggles on the glass, on the interior and in pick-and-roll action without Capela in the lineup. The Hawks are coming off tough back-to-back losses with their most recent defeat coming at the hands of the LA Clippers by 13. Miami will be without Jimmy Butler (knee) andKyle Lowry (hamstring) and the Heat list P.J. The Miami Heat will travel to take on the Atlanta Hawks. On paper, Atlanta should be able to take down a crippled Miami team, but in practice, it could be a tough challenge. James is a Basketball Insiders contributor. Atlanta lists Bogdan Bogdanovic (knee) and Clint Capela (knee) as questionable, while Lou Williams (back) has been ruled out. DISCLAIMER: This site is 100% for entertainment purposes only and does not involve real money betting. ET (NBA TV). 6-keys: media/spln/nba/reg/free/stories, By pressing sign up, I confirm that I have read and agree to the. Atlanta is in trouble, as it has one of the worst rebound rates in the entire NBA (48.1%). Place your legal, online sports bets at Tipico. On Thursday, Oct. 14, 2021, the undefeated Miami Heat (4-0) are playing the Atlanta Hawks (1-2) at State Farm Arena. This should be a challenge for Atlanta, but they could certainly rise to the occasion. The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past four-plus seasons. The Miami Heat (24-20) battle the Atlanta Hawks (21-22) Monday. On Monday, in the Heats 104-103 home victory over the Hornets, center Bam Adebayo led the team in scoring, putting up 18 points, 5.0 rebounds and 1.0 assist in 26 minutes played. Per Cleaning The Glass, the Heats defense allows the highest frequency (41.8% of shots) of 3-point attempts. Want action on this NBA game or any other matchups? Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook. SportsLine's model is leaning Under on the total, projecting 222 combined points. Considering it all, back HAWKS (-110). Get viral NBA graphics, memes, rumors and trending news delivered right to your inbox with the Clutch Newsletter. Villanova started the day at 20/1 on DraftKings to win the 2023 national title. Atlantas dominance at home is, without question, the No. Furthermore, the Heat scored 104 points versus the Hornets, while the Hawks finished with 91 points against the Grizzlies. Kyle Neptune will be Wrights successor. If the Heat win and cover as short home underdogs, it will be because their shooters step up and they have enough key defenders available to keep their stingy defense intact. Granted, Young made just two of his 10 3-point attempts, but it was still a strong bounce-back performance after Sundays debacle. I have Heat futures. And, Kevin Huerter and DeAndre Hunter are listed as questionable to play. Gannett may earn revenue from sports betting operators for audience referrals to betting services. section: | slug: heat-vs-hawks-prediction-odds-line-2022-nba-playoff-picks-game-5-best-bets-from-model-on-86-58-run | sport: basketball | route: article_single.us | See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. section: | slug: heat-vs-hawks-prediction-odds-line-spread-2023-nba-picks-mlk-day-best-bets-from-proven-model | sport: basketball | route: article_single.us | FINAL HEAT-HAWKS PICK: Miami Heat +2.5 (-110), FINAL HEAT-HAWKS SCORE PREDICTION: Heat 116 Hawks 107, The NBA regular season continues with games on Wednesday. No team has been hotter at home over the past three months than the Hawks, who have won 20 of their past 23 games in Atlanta dating back to January 17. While they are not listed on the injury report, I wouldnt be too surprised to see the Heat pull Jimmy Butler, Bam Adebayo or Kyle Lowry before the opening tip, so if you want to back the Heat, be sure they are playing first. ET (TNT). The Hawks have gone 17-13 in home games . Jimmy Butler is expected to step up for the Heat with 23 points, 7 rebounds and 5 assists, while Trae Young is projected to finish with 26 points, 2 rebounds and 10 assists for the Hawks. Now, the model has set its sights on Heat vs. Hawks, and just locked in its picks and NBA playoff predictions. But I think Atlanta can make this a series; Miamis ceiling isnt high enough for it to get clear separation and weve seen that in the first two games. Neptune spent seven seasons on Wrights staff at Villanova before taking over as the head coach of Fordham last year. Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Before you make any Hawks vs. Heat picks, you'll want to see the NBA predictions and betting advice from the proven computer model at SportsLine. As always, check out all the online sportsbooks that are available in your state for the best NBA odds and lines. Call 1-800-GAMBLER. So who wins Heat vs. Hawks? Bucks prediction and pick. Bet now! Young was especially dynamic in Atlanta this year, as he averaged 30.2 points, 3.8 rebounds, and 9.5 assists playing in the Highlight Factory.. Miami is giving up 110.9 points per 100 possessions this season, and the Heat lead the NBA in points allowed in the paint (44.1 per game). However, even though Trae Young & Co. may not advance to the second round, they can still make things interesting on Friday night when they return to the friendly confines of State Farm Arena. Miami outshot Atlanta from everywhere on the floor and won three of the four factors as the Heat outscored the Hawks in three of the four quarters. Hawks vs. Heat player prop bet: Trae Young 'over' 34.5 points + assists -121 (PointsBet) Let's throw the last game out for a second. The Heat are 6-0 ATS in their last six games vs. a team with a winning straight-up record. Lets make this interesting. These two teams have had somewhat different starts to the season. This season, Adebayo is averaging an impressive 21.5 points and 10.1 rebounds per game. The Miami Heat (55-29 SU, 48-35-1 ATS) visit the Atlanta Hawks (45-41, 39-47) at State Farm Arena on Friday as they look to go up 3-0 in their first-round Eastern Conference series. If they can play with as much intensity in the regular season as they have during the preseason, the team will be one of the top contenders in the Eastern Conference. Clint Capela (calf) is questionable for Atlanta, with Trae Young (shoulder) listed as probable. Find out why Trae Young will shine, win or lose, with our Heat vs. Hawks picks. Dimers has full betting coverage of Monday's Heat-Hawks matchup, including pregame predictions, top betting picks, and live win probabilities. The latest Heat vs. Hawks odds from Caesars Sportsbook lists Miami as the 4.5-point favorite, while the over-under for total points is set at 215.5. The Hawks will undoubtedly look like a different team at home on Friday. Bet legally online with a trusted partner: Tipico Sportsbook, Sportsbook Wires official sportsbook partner in CO, NJ and, soon, IA. Miami is in the bottom five in field goal percentage (45.2%) and No. It starts at 7:00 PM ET on NBCS-DC and SportsNet.The Raptors take on the Wizards in a game expected to be a tight one. Bet now! I think this team has been underrated in the market as the No. Pick: Trae Young Over 26.5 points (-114 at FanDuel). Covers disclaims all liability associated with your use of this website and use of any information contained on it. The Heats disappointing offense on the road should aid Atlanta. You can only see the model's Heat vs. Hawks picks at SportsLine. Atlanta currently has five players listed on the injury report. Miami has a commanding 2-0 lead in the best-of-seven series after thrashing Atlanta 115-105 on Tuesday behind Jimmy Butlers career postseason-high 45 points. Call the National Council on Problem Gambling 24/7 at 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ, OH), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA), 1-800-9-WITH-IT (IN). Coach K was 75 when he retired and Williams was 70. The Heat also rank in the bottom 7 in field goal percentage (45.2%) and 3-point field goal percentage (34%). Double Down, Ohio! Odds updated Thursday at 3:30 AM ET. For betting trends, the Heat are 8-4 against the spread in their last 12 games. Location: State Farm Arena; Atlanta, Georgia, TV channels: Bally Sports Southeast, Bally Sports Sun, NBA League Pass. Our best bets are based on detailed simulations and gambling intelligence to serve you the best possible plays every time. When Will Sports Betting Be Legal In Florida, Heat vs Hawks Picks and Predictions: Adebayo Steps Up for Shorthanded Miami, Suns vs Hornets Picks and Predictions: Durant Gets His Legs Underneath Him, Pelicans vs Trail Blazers Picks and Predictions: Lillard Struggles to Pass Lofty Scoring Total, Cavaliers vs Celtics Picks and Predictions: White Seeks Heat from Distance, Lakers vs Thunder Picks and Predictions: LA Locks Onto Dort in SGA's Absence, Todays NBA Player Prop Picks: Going Back to the Well With Dennis Schroder, NBA Clutch Player of the Year Odds: Fox's Fourths Have Him First. It's time to continue our NBA odds series and make a Heat-Hawks prediction and pick. LEANto theOVER 220.5 (-115)for a one-third unit if at all, because Miamis point spread is my favorite wager in this game. Bet now! There is no shortage of excitement on today's NBA schedule, including the Philadelphia 76ers taking on the Dallas Mavericks.Here are the betting odds to break down before today's NBA action.NBA League Pass: The most live games plus NBA TV. Thanks for contacting us. All Rights Reserved. They just wont look like the better team. Across all six major sports (NFL, CFB, NBA, CBB, NHL, MLB), Villanova is the most profitable betting team over the last decade: 196-133-9 ATS (59.6 percent). The Hawks only have one player, Lou Williams, listed on their injury report, so they will have a pretty full squad of players available tonight in Miami. New customer offer in CO and NJ. PASS. On the other hand, the Hawks sit in the ninth seed in the East as the Brooklyn Nets hold the tiebreaker over them for the eighth seed. That will undoubtedly help them beat Miami as the Heat sit 30th in points per game (108.8). Before making any Hawks vs. Heat picks, be sure tosee the NBA playoff 2022 predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's advanced computer model. Please check your email for a confirmation. The return of John Collins, whos still rounding into form after missing Game 1 due to injury, should also give the Hawks some extra scoring punch. NFL Fantasy Football Rankings, Sleepers and Analysis, USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub, Colorado at Oregon odds, picks and predictions, CFP National Championship Game: TCU vs. Georgia odds, picks and predictions, 2023 CFP National Championship: TCU vs. Georgia prop bet picks and predictions, Your California Privacy Rights/Privacy Policy. With so many uncertainties surrounding who will play for the Heat, I would either prefer a small play on the Hawks or a play on Max Strus player props. The Hawks put pressure on the rim with 51.8 points per game in the paint, and Miami ranks in the bottom third of the NBA in 3-point percentage allowed (36.6) and 2-point percentage allowed (55.4%) this season. The Miami Heat host the Atlanta Hawks on Friday night in an important game for the Hawks. Heat vs. Hawks Prediction. The Hawks have won 3 of their last 4 games overall and are 11-9 at home this season. Because the Hawks have the shooters to punish the Heats defense, especially if the Heat are shorthanded and rotations arent as crisp, I think they are worth a small play in this must-win scenario. The Heat are defense-first team that is still dealing with many injuries. Expect Miami to come out aggressive and ready to step things up against the Hawks. Rebounding isnt the only issue the Hawks will have to deal with here. ATL: The Hawks are 6-1 against the spread in their last seven games following a straight-up defeat. A Wednesday night news dump has sent shock waves through the college basketball world as Jay Wright stepped down as the coach at Villanova. And which side of the spread hits in over 60% of simulations? Count on him going Over 26.5 points on Friday night, even if it takes 25 shots to get there. Action Network makes no representation or warranty as to the accuracy of the information given or the outcome of any game or event. ET. After a challenging first few months of the season, the Miami Heat have found their rhythm, securing victories in seven of their last 10 games. Miami also forced 19 turnovers with its relentless, swarming defense, prompting its lead to balloon to 16 points in the second half. No promotions available. Atlanta also has a good defense, ranking 14th in opponents field goal percentage (47%) and 4th in opponents 3-point field goal percentage (34.2%). If youre looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW. Anyways, the top story for tonights intraconference matchup pertains to injuries and resting players. Now, the model has set its sights on Hawks vs. Heat and just locked in its picks and NBA predictions. Expect the Hawks to look far more relaxed on Friday playing in front of their home fans. Miami has taken the first two games . Monday's game between the Hawks and Heat at State Farm Arena is scheduled to start at 3:30PM ET. Gambling Problem? Sports Betting Legality Map Covers disclaims all liability associated with your use of this website and use of any information contained on it. Miami has . More: Track Your Bets via Dimers' Bet Center. Atlanta had the eighth-best Net Rating in home games this season, just behind the Heat in seventh. Copyright 1995 - 2023 The Heat, who were 2.5-point underdogs, clobbered the Hawks 115-91 in Atlanta in the opener of . Moores Best Bet: Hawks +2.5 Games (+172, FanDuel). Embiid is second in the league averaging 33.0 points per game. Normally Atlanta does a solid job of creating offense and making shots, but that has been their main source of struggle recently. Swiss Bank averaged 11.5 points and 10 rebounds against Miami this season, and his presence was sorely missed in Game 2 as Jimmy Butler exploded for 45 points on a dizzying variety of baseline drives, coast-to-coast layups, and uncontested dunks. Bettors should expect even bigger things from Young on Friday. Meanwhile, last Friday, in the Hawks 91-87 road win over the Grizzlies, John Collins and Bogdan Bogdanovic each scored 16 points. The. The model enters Week 13 of the 2022-23 NBA season on a stunning 43-19 roll on all top-rated NBA picks this season, returning more than $2,100. Heat vs. Hawks prediction, odds, line: 2022 NBA playoff picks, Game 5 best bets from model on 86-58 run SportsLine's model simulated Game 5 of the Atlanta Hawks vs. Miami Heat series in the NBA . Though, bettors taking the under is understandable. The Miami Heat will travel to take on the Atlanta Hawks. The Heat are 20-24 O/U this season. Not to mention, the Heat won the turnover battle. Hawks vs Heat Game 1 Picks and Predictions: Miami's Perimeter Defense Shines Through. 5 seed. (And Bucks futures. The Grizzlies are usually one of the more challenging teams to defeat at home. Bet legally online with a trusted partner: Tipico Sportsbook, SportsbookWires official sportsbook partner in OH, CO and NJ. Young is over this number in seven straight regular . However, longtime Villanova bettors might be the saddest of all. Our side and total predictions are based upon our analysis of the line and total in this game. The Heat been average in pick-and-roll coverage this year, allowing 0.90 points per possessions and a 49.8% effective field goal percentage. CBS Sports is a registered trademark of CBS Broadcasting Inc. Commissioner.com is a registered trademark of CBS Interactive Inc. site: media | arena: nba | pageType: stories | Those numbers are impossible to ignore, especially when you consider the fact that the Heat and Hawks combined for 220 points in Game 2 in an intense road environment for Atlanta. Even though the Hawks rank 20th in the NBA in net rating, Washington is somehow worse, clocking in at No. 1 in net . My best bet: Bam Adebayo Over 32.5 points and rebounds (-113). The 25-year-old Adebayo can score, and Onyeka Okungwu, who will see a lot of time on Adebayo, will have his hands full. Miami is currently dealing with lots of injured players and will need their other roster members to step up on Wednesday. That's right, our predictive analytics model then compares those odds (aka Vegas odds) against its own probabilities to find value in the markets, which allows us to produce the most authoritative NBA betting previews and beat the public and the sportsbooks to the punch. If you choose to make use of any information on this website including online sports betting services from any websites that may be featured on this website, we strongly recommend that you carefully check your local laws before doing so. The Wildcats are also currently 22/1 at BetMGM but can now be bought at 40/1 at both Caesars and FanDuel. One key player in this matchup who isnt listed on the injury report: Max Strus. The Nets score an average of 113.6 points per game, just 3.2 fewer points than the 116.8 the Hawks allow. With its center Clint Capela still sidelined, its fair to question how it can keep Adebayo from crashing the boards. The Hawks, two days off an emotional road win to secure the No. The total opened at 220, and has remained there since at most operators. With Miamis tough defense already shutting down Young this year, it seems like the Heat should be in a prime position to pick up an ATS win tonight. Considering all the players the Heat have listed out on the injury report, if the total goes over, Atlanta is likely to cover the spread. Before placing any wagers with any betting site, you must check the online gambling regulations in your jurisdiction or state, as they do vary. But, he is now off the injury report. ET in Atlanta. Many bettors likely woke up on Thursday surprised to see the Heat installed as mere -1.5-point favorites for Game 3. However, ten of these players are out because head coach Eric Spoelstra is wanting them to rest. On the surface level, this looks like an easy decision. Even more impressive, Miami took 44 threes and made 22 of them. Based on trusted machine learning and data, Dimers.com has simulated Monday's Heat-Hawks NBA game 10,000 times. The Heat went 44 for 88 from the field, compared to 30 for 79 from Phoenix. Their path included an upset of the top-seeded Philadelphia 76ers and featured a remarkable three road victories to get the job done. Dimers does not endorse or encourage illegal or irresponsible gambling in any form. You can only see the model's pick at SportsLine. The Over/Under is currently set at 223.5. If Atlanta can shoot a little better than it did Wednesday, then this Over will cash. Atlanta . Atlanta is also elite in 3-point defense, yielding only 34.2% shooting to opponents from beyond the arc. But the market reflects a huge gap between these two teams and we basically have three straight halves where the Hawks have hung in, with the series headed to Atlanta where the Hawks have been way . Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its NBA picks, and find out. The Raptors are favored by only 1.5 points against the Wizards.Raptors vs. Wizards Betting OddsOdds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list.Spread: Toronto -1.5Moneyline: Toronto -117, Washington -103Catch the excitement and bet with Tipico!Double Down, Ohio! As of Thursday, the Heat have clinched the top seed in the Eastern Conference, and consequently, the Heat have listed quite a few players on their injury report for Friday as it is unclear how many players they will rest. For the series, the Hawks are averaging just 98.3 points per game. In the last matchup between the two teams, Adebayo combined for 40 points and rebounds, clearly looking a step ahead and physically more dominant. The Atlanta Hawks (17-23) head to South Beach Friday for the second game of their home-and-away, back-to-back with the Miami Heat (26-15). If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER. This has been the case for Trae against Miami in the last three matchups, failing to shoot over 27.3%. When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that leads to a third-party website that we have a commercial arrangement with (such as an online sportsbook), we may earn referral fees. NBA League Pass. The Under is an interesting play, with Miami playing defense so well, combined with its struggles offensively. Year ahead of schedule as they used to be for the Hawks beat the Toronto Raptors 114-103,. Young over 26.5 points on Friday night in an important game for the series, the upstart appeared! To betting services 76ers and featured a remarkable three road victories to get there has struggled also ended performance. Of their home fans John collins and Bogdan Bogdanovic each scored 16 points in best-of-seven. 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A tight one strung together some impressive victories, while Atlanta has struggled, to...